2024 Democratic Primary Polls

National Polls

As of October 18, 2022, the latest national polls show Elizabeth Warren leading the Democratic field with an average of 31.2%. She is followed by Bernie Sanders with 24.7%, Joe Biden with 19.3%, and Kamala Harris with 15.2%.

State Polls

In the early state polls, Warren is also leading in Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada. Sanders is leading in California and Texas. Biden is leading in South Carolina. Harris is not leading in any of the early states.

Scenarios

The race is still very fluid, and it is too early to say who will ultimately win the nomination. However, there are a few scenarios that could play out.

• Warren could maintain her lead and win the nomination outright.
• Sanders could surge in the polls and overtake Warren.
• Biden could make a comeback and win the nomination.
• Harris could surprise everyone and win the nomination.

Conclusion

The Democratic primary is still very much up for grabs. With less than a year to go until the first votes are cast, it is impossible to say who will ultimately win the nomination.